Not quite Churchill

President Trump’s recent slur, that Keir Starmer is no Winston Churchill, struck me as singularly ill-judged. The context was Starmer’s refusal to allow the United States to use British bases for the initial strikes on Iran. A war of more than questionable legality, a war with no clear endpoint, and a war into which the President of the United States apparently expected Britain to be dragooned by the invocation of a name.

Not unexpected but wrong-headed.

It sent me to a lecture I had not previously read: Sir Martin Gilbert’s Churchill and Bombing Policy, delivered at the Churchill Centre in Washington in October 2005. Gilbert, as Churchill’s authorised biographer, was not someone disposed to diminish his subject. And what the lecture reveals is a man of such profound moral and strategic contradictions that to deploy his name as a simple taunt for military restraint tells you either that the person doing the deploying has never seriously engaged with Churchill’s actual record, or that they simply don’t care.

Both possibilities are, in their different ways, alarming even if not surprising.

There is a Churchill in Gilbert’s lecture who would have pleased Mr Trump no end. In July 1940 – with France fallen, America neutral, and invasion seemingly imminent – Churchill wrote to Lord Beaverbrook that the only path to victory lay in ‘an absolutely devastating, exterminating attack by very heavy bombers from this country upon the Nazi homeland.’ Bomber Harris later told Gilbert that it was the origin of the idea of bombing the enemy out of the war: ‘It originated with Winston.’ In Moscow in 1942, Churchill told Stalin that Britain ‘sought no mercy and would show no mercy’ and that if necessary they ‘hoped to shatter almost every dwelling in almost every German city.’ These are not the words of a man plagued by restraint.

But there is another Churchill in the same pages.

At Chequers in June 1943, after watching an RAF film of the bombing of Wuppertal, Churchill turned to the Australian representative Richard Casey and asked: ‘Are we beasts? Are we taking this too far?’ Before the Normandy landings, when Portal advised that between 20,000 and 40,000 French civilians might be killed in railway bombing, Churchill told his colleagues he ‘felt some doubts as to the wisdom of this policy’ and wrote to Portal: ‘You are piling up an awful load of hatred.’ He asked Eisenhower to cap civilian deaths per raid at around a hundred. Eisenhower declined. He put the matter to Roosevelt. Roosevelt declined too. And so the bombing went ahead – but it was Churchill who had tried to stop it going further.

After Dresden, Churchill minuted that ‘the question of bombing of German cities simply for the sake of increasing the terror, though under other pretexts, should be reviewed.’ ‘The destruction of Dresden,’ he wrote, ‘remains a serious query against the conduct of Allied bombing.’

And in his final retirement, asked to look back on a life of extraordinary consequence, Churchill said that his only regret was that ‘mankind ever learned to fly.’

Gilbert closes his lecture with four quiet words: ‘It would seem that the “beasts” had prevailed.’

What are we to make of a man who could write ‘exterminating attack’ to Beaverbrook and ‘are we beasts?’ to Casey? Who boasted to Stalin of shattering German cities and then tried to limit French civilian casualties to a hundred per raid? The honest answer is that he was a figure of genuine moral complexity, caught in a war of genuine existential stakes, wrestling, not always successfully, with what total war required of those who prosecuted it. He does not reduce to a symbol of uncomplicated martial courage. He never did.

Which brings us back to Mr Trump’s taunt.

Starmer declined to commit British bases to initial strikes in a conflict whose legal basis is contested, whose strategic endgame is opaque, and whose regional consequences are unpredictable. For this he was told he was no Churchill. But then, Churchill himself – the man who wrote ‘exterminating attack’ and who also asked ‘are we beasts?’ – spent considerable energy trying to restrain bombing he considered disproportionate, unjustified, or counterproductive. He was overruled, more than once, by Americans.

There is something almost poetically appropriate in that.

The question isn’t whether Starmer resembles Churchill. The question is whether anyone invoking Churchill as a standard of unthinking bellicosity has bothered to read about him.

It would appear not.

O, wad Some power the gift gie us . . .

How we see ourselves takes up a lot of time and column inches. It is necessary – and occasionally challenging – to read the view of others.

Richard Wolffe in his piece in today’s Guardian, Oh, Britain: the chasm between myth and reality keeps on growing, nails it

Today the Brits are worried they look like Italians, with new prime ministers every few months or weeks.

In fact they should be worried they look like Austrians, sitting in a jewel-encrusted museum piece at the heart of a once-great empire, arguing among themselves about nationalists and immigrants.

British prime ministers used to come and go like vintage wines. Every few years there might be a classic. Now they come and go like utility bills: painful and entirely forgettable.

Optimism

Do I agree with Steven Pinker’s optimistic world view that humans are living longer and better? Well, yes and no.

When the FT’s Henry Mance, in a recent interview with Pinker (behind the FT’s paywall), remarks that news headlines suggest the opposite, Pinker argues that

journalism is a non-random sample of the worst things that are happening on earth at any given time. When you look at the world through the lens of data, rather than events, it’s much more positive.

Well, up to a point!

Later in the interview, Pinker suggests that US politics needs more scientists. Mance points out that some of the least trustworthy politicians are doctors, to which Pinker replies,

Doctors are not scientists! Doctors are professional descendants of mediaeval barber surgeons. There’s a surprising number of doctors who don’t think scientifically.

Hmmm. I know at least one doctor who would disagree (but then Pinker in making his argument ignores the historical distinction between physician and surgeon).

. . . and although I’m not at all sure UK politics needs more scientists – Thérèse Coffey was once a scientist – UK politicians should perhaps listen more to the scientists (read Kate Bingham’s The Long Shot).

Crime and punishment

In a piece in the Guardian yesterday, Vernon Bogdanor reflected on how history may judge Johnson’s period in office, recalling Churchill’s remark that “history would be kind to him since he would be writing it”, and suggesting that

Johnson, an admirer of Churchill, may feel the same, and will no doubt seek to polish his record. He should be allowed to do so, free of the vindictiveness and self-righteousness which so often disfigures the liberal left. Loss of the premiership is punishment enough.

There are three problems with this.

The first is that however much you polish a turd, it is still a turd.

Second, it will never be a case of ‘allowing’ Johnson to polish his record. He’s never felt that he has needed anyone’s permission for anything. And so he is already hard at work. You only had to listen to his farewell speech this morning.

And last, why should loss of the premiership be punishment enough? Johnson is a conman – entitled, slippery with truth and facts, a rule breaker, and above all indulged: by his family, his friends, his party, the media, the public. As Bogdanor notes, the central weakness of his administration was Johnson’s belief that “rules are for others, not for him.”

The failure effectively to call him out has got us to where we are – we should not be precious about holding him to account.